Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002040 0.002245 0.002451 0.002673 0.002905 0.003140 0.003395
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001692 0.001986 0.002290 0.002628 0.002989 0.003363 0.003777
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001431 0.001791 0.002175 0.002611 0.003088 0.003592 0.004159
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001255 0.001670 0.002126 0.002656 0.003247 0.003879 0.004602
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001071 0.001525 0.002038 0.002647 0.003338 0.004090 0.004958
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000948 0.001437 0.002006 0.002695 0.003489 0.004362 0.005382
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000844 0.001364 0.001984 0.002748 0.003642 0.004636 0.005805
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000761 0.001308 0.001976 0.002815 0.003807 0.004920 0.006239
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000632 0.001180 0.001873 0.002760 0.003827 0.005035 0.006480
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000540 0.001093 0.001814 0.002753 0.003898 0.005206 0.006782
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000458 0.001012 0.001755 0.002744 0.003961 0.005366 0.007069
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000430 0.001005 0.001792 0.002850 0.004164 0.005688 0.007541
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000365 0.000951 0.001784 0.002927 0.004364 0.006045 0.008104
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000828 0.001676 0.002873 0.004405 0.006219 0.008459
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000191 0.000732 0.001596 0.002851 0.004485 0.006439 0.008872
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000674 0.001567 0.002895 0.004646 0.006759 0.009404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000596 0.001500 0.002883 0.004735 0.006990 0.009831
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000550 0.001479 0.002931 0.004900 0.007314 0.010370
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000511 0.001464 0.002986 0.005072 0.007646 0.010919
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000480 0.001460 0.003055 0.005261 0.007999 0.011493
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.000407 0.001373 0.002998 0.005281 0.008140 0.011811
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000357 0.001322 0.002990 0.005364 0.008359 0.012221
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000311 0.001272 0.002980 0.005441 0.008568 0.012619